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2022-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 79.8% 20.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% -
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.3% 38.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (109-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 6-18 2-10 5-6 7 10 0 0 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 10-20 3-6 4-5 10 7 2 0 27 - -
Derrick White * 35 9-12 6-8 2-2 3 1 2 2 26 - -
Al Horford * 34 7-8 4-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Grant Williams * 34 5-10 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Sam Hauser 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 18 1-8 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 9-20 5-11 2-2 2 7 2 0 25 - -
Herbert Jones * 35 7-12 2-4 1-2 7 2 3 0 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 7-18 4-8 0-0 5 3 3 0 18 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 5-7 0-0 0-1 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Trey Murphy III * 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 26 7-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 3 2 16 - -
Jose Alvarado 24 4-12 0-6 2-2 6 4 1 1 10 - -
Naji Marshall 21 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Dyson Daniels 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Devonte' Graham 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter