Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (30.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +28 (127-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 26 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Jack White | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 11-22 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 35 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 26 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 26 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter