Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.3% | 24.7% | -6.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 36 | 10-20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 14 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 27 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 18 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 5-20 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 28 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter