Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (91-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 32 | 3-15 | 3-13 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 29 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 17 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter