Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +18 (130-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 22 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hall | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 11-15 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 13 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chima Moneke | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter