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2022-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (130-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 17-28 7-11 9-9 9 6 0 1 50 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 5-11 4-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Draymond Green * 29 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 8 3 0 9 - -
Klay Thompson * 29 6-17 3-9 4-4 5 2 0 0 19 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 10 - -
Jordan Poole 26 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 8 0 1 2 - -
Anthony Lamb 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 7 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
JaMychal Green 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Moses Moody 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 41 6-11 5-8 6-6 9 9 1 0 23 - -
Devin Booker * 36 8-17 2-5 9-9 2 9 0 3 27 - -
Cameron Payne * 33 9-17 6-10 5-6 3 7 0 1 29 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 7-14 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Torrey Craig * 29 5-8 3-6 0-0 10 2 2 1 13 - -
Damion Lee 27 3-4 3-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 9 - -
Jock Landale 16 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 2 7 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 13 2-6 1-4 0-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Ish Wainright 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter