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2022-11-17

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 โœ— (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—

Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 37 3-5 0-1 4-5 3 0 2 1 10 - -
Julius Randle * 32 11-21 3-10 9-13 11 4 4 0 34 - -
Jalen Brunson * 31 7-13 2-4 5-5 5 7 0 0 21 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 4-18 0-9 3-4 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Immanuel Quickley 27 2-5 0-2 2-3 5 6 1 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 23 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Jericho Sims 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 2 4 - -
Derrick Rose 16 5-10 2-3 1-1 1 3 0 1 13 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 32 7-20 3-7 4-4 9 6 1 1 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 5-9 2-5 1-1 1 2 0 0 13 - -
Jeff Green * 27 2-5 0-1 6-6 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 27 1-8 1-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 26 2-4 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 1 4 - -
Zeke Nnaji 26 5-7 1-3 2-3 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Bones Hyland 22 7-15 5-10 2-2 7 2 0 0 21 - -
Bruce Brown 21 5-10 2-5 0-0 6 3 1 2 12 - -
Christian Braun 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Vlatko Cancar 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter