Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (92-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 21 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 3-18 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 33 | 10-26 | 5-14 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 30 | 9-22 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter