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2022-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +14 (124-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 9-22 4-11 3-4 3 5 0 0 25 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 30 11-15 0-1 6-7 4 7 0 0 28 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 6-13 2-5 0-0 10 0 1 0 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 27 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Patrick Williams * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 27 5-7 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Goran Dragic 20 3-7 0-2 0-2 2 7 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 14 1-7 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Andre Drummond 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 8-16 3-8 4-4 4 8 0 1 23 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 3-7 2-2 2-3 4 3 1 0 10 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 4-15 2-4 6-8 6 9 0 1 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 8-13 2-3 4-4 7 2 0 1 22 - -
Trey Murphy III * 24 7-9 5-6 0-0 10 1 3 1 19 - -
Jose Alvarado 21 6-7 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Naji Marshall 18 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 2-5 0-2 4-4 6 3 0 1 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Devonte' Graham 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter