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2022-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Log Adjusted 56.4% 43.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (113-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 34 7-19 3-9 6-6 2 3 2 0 23 11 -
Darius Garland * 34 8-20 5-9 2-3 4 8 1 1 23 17 -
Lamar Stevens * 33 3-10 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 4 10 9 -
Evan Mobley * 31 9-14 0-0 2-4 7 2 1 2 20 18 -
Caris LeVert * 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 -
Isaac Okoro 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 4 4 -
Kevin Love 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 5 12 -
Cedi Osman 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 6 -
Robin Lopez 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Isaiah Mobley 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 -
Raul Neto 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Mamadi Diakite 4 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 6-18 0-2 4-11 12 8 0 0 16 18 -
Jevon Carter * 31 5-10 1-3 0-0 4 8 1 2 11 16 -
Brook Lopez * 30 10-13 7-9 2-2 5 1 1 3 29 26 -
Bobby Portis * 29 4-8 0-1 2-2 11 2 1 0 10 16 -
MarJon Beauchamp * 26 1-8 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 0 -
Jordan Nwora 28 6-10 5-9 4-6 3 1 1 1 21 17 -
George Hill 18 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 7 -
Serge Ibaka 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 8 -
AJ Green 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 7 1-3 0-2 3-6 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter