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2022-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% -
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% -
Margin 78.5% 21.5% -7.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -25 (101-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 32 6-19 3-10 4-4 7 8 1 1 19 17 -
Derrick White * 31 6-11 2-4 2-2 5 10 0 1 16 21 -
Grant Williams * 27 6-10 4-7 2-2 1 1 0 0 18 10 -
Al Horford * 27 3-6 1-3 0-0 11 4 0 1 7 17 -
Jaylen Brown * 23 10-17 1-6 1-2 5 0 2 0 22 12 -
Sam Hauser 27 5-6 5-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 15 15 -
Luke Kornet 25 7-7 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 4 15 21 -
Payton Pritchard 24 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 14 14 -
Justin Jackson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Blake Griffin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
JD Davison 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 34 4-13 2-6 3-3 4 0 0 0 13 4 -
Dejounte Murray * 33 9-17 1-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 19 11 -
John Collins * 31 6-12 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 3 12 6 -
Trae Young * 30 10-23 2-7 5-6 5 9 1 0 27 19 -
Clint Capela * 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 7 12 -
AJ Griffin 20 3-9 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 2 -
Onyeka Okongwu 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 12 -
Aaron Holiday 10 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Jalen Johnson 10 3-11 0-4 1-2 4 0 1 1 7 2 -
Justin Holiday 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Frank Kaminsky 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Trent Forrest 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Tyrese Martin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Vit Krejci 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter