Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.6% | 4.4% | -17.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (120-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 14-22 | 2-3 | 12-17 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 34 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 20 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 38 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 17 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Will Barton | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter