Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 9-15 | 6-8 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 22 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter