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2022-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +11 (113-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 37 6-18 2-9 5-6 2 1 1 0 19 - -
Ja Morant * 36 13-27 2-6 8-11 8 4 3 0 36 - -
John Konchar * 36 4-6 1-3 0-0 8 2 1 0 9 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 3-14 0-7 1-2 6 0 0 5 7 - -
Steven Adams * 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 33 6-12 1-1 2-2 13 3 0 3 15 - -
Santi Aldama 24 3-6 1-3 1-2 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
David Roddy 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 7-14 2-2 3-3 4 2 0 1 19 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 11-23 7-13 1-2 3 9 0 1 30 - -
Trey Murphy III * 25 5-11 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 13 - -
Herbert Jones * 22 4-7 2-3 0-1 3 2 0 1 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 30 8-10 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 2 19 - -
Naji Marshall 25 1-5 0-2 2-2 8 4 0 0 4 - -
Jose Alvarado 21 5-11 2-6 0-0 3 6 0 1 12 - -
Dyson Daniels 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 9 1 1 1 3 - -
Devonte' Graham 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 - -

* = starter