Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (30.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +37 (132-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 18 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hall | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 29 | 13-20 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 23 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 24 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter