Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -15 (106-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarJon Beauchamp * | 34 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 11-18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter