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2022-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (126-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleksej Pokusevski * 37 7-12 2-4 0-0 14 3 1 3 16 - -
Jalen Williams * 36 6-9 2-5 0-1 6 2 0 1 14 - -
Luguentz Dort * 35 7-18 3-7 4-5 5 1 0 0 21 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 13-26 2-4 9-9 4 8 2 1 37 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 6-17 1-6 3-3 7 4 0 1 16 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Wiggins 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Jaylin Williams 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 7 0-1 0-1 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 41 11-21 0-5 4-6 6 6 2 0 26 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 9-23 1-9 8-10 10 1 3 3 27 - -
Al Horford * 32 5-12 1-5 1-1 11 4 1 1 12 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 8-12 1-2 5-6 5 8 0 1 22 - -
Grant Williams * 28 2-6 1-3 2-2 7 0 2 0 7 - -
Derrick White 33 5-9 2-4 4-4 1 5 4 0 16 - -
Sam Hauser 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 14 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter