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2022-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% -
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% -
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (111-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 36 6-19 1-6 6-7 7 3 0 2 19 12 -
Scottie Barnes * 34 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 1 8 10 -
Thaddeus Young * 26 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 4 2 1 6 15 -
Dalano Banton * 24 9-16 3-7 6-6 4 4 3 2 27 24 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chris Boucher 31 7-12 1-3 5-5 4 1 1 0 20 14 -
Juancho Hernangomez 23 4-8 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 9 10 -
Christian Koloko 16 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 8 10 -
Malachi Flynn 15 3-6 2-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 12 13 -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 8 -
Khem Birch 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 34 6-16 1-5 8-10 4 8 1 0 21 18 -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 5-12 2-8 6-10 5 5 0 0 18 16 -
Marvin Bagley III * 28 6-11 1-2 3-3 5 0 1 0 16 11 -
Killian Hayes * 24 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 3 1 6 9 -
Isaiah Stewart * 12 3-6 2-2 1-1 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
Saddiq Bey 30 3-10 1-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 9 9 -
Isaiah Livers 23 1-5 1-5 4-5 3 2 0 0 7 7 -
Jalen Duren 19 1-1 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 2 7 -
Alec Burks 16 5-7 2-3 3-5 2 2 1 0 15 13 -
Hamidou Diallo 16 2-3 0-0 4-5 1 1 1 0 8 8 -

* = starter