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2022-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (122-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 9-17 3-9 6-6 6 4 1 0 27 21 -
Draymond Green * 34 3-7 0-2 0-0 7 11 0 1 6 18 -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 10-18 3-9 3-4 4 2 2 0 26 16 -
Klay Thompson * 32 6-16 5-13 0-0 7 3 1 1 17 13 -
Kevon Looney * 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 2 8 15 -
Donte DiVincenzo 24 1-3 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 5 9 -
Jordan Poole 20 6-14 3-7 3-3 3 1 1 0 18 9 -
Jonathan Kuminga 14 1-4 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
Anthony Lamb 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 36 8-15 5-9 0-0 4 0 3 0 21 13 -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 10-17 2-2 4-6 22 8 0 0 26 39 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 10-19 2-4 0-2 4 8 3 1 22 19 -
Kevin Huerter * 32 6-9 4-6 1-4 5 4 0 0 17 17 -
Harrison Barnes * 27 4-8 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 1 9 6 -
Malik Monk 24 2-8 1-4 7-7 1 4 0 0 12 9 -
Terence Davis 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 9 -
Davion Mitchell 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Chimezie Metu 13 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 5 -
Trey Lyles 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter