Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -23 (103-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 11-16 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 31 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 22 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalen Terry | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter