Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +13 (119-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 11-20 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 25 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 35 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 27 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 20 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 17 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter