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Portland Trail Blazers 112
@
Dallas Mavericks 117
2022-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (117-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 39 9-20 5-11 1-2 7 2 0 0 24 - -
Jerami Grant * 39 13-22 5-9 6-6 6 2 0 2 37 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 6-16 2-7 15-17 7 12 1 0 29 - -
Josh Hart * 36 0-9 0-2 2-6 9 3 1 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks * 33 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Trendon Watford 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Jabari Walker 8 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 5 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 37 13-22 1-5 15-18 13 10 2 1 42 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 33 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 32 7-11 6-8 0-0 7 6 0 1 20 - -
Reggie Bullock * 17 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Dwight Powell * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 31 6-13 3-10 1-1 3 5 1 0 16 - -
Christian Wood 25 7-11 1-5 4-5 5 1 2 0 19 - -
Josh Green 23 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Maxi Kleber 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter