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2022-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.2 ✓ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 9-23 1-4 4-4 8 7 2 0 23 - -
Trae Young * 37 8-18 2-7 9-12 1 11 1 0 27 - -
John Collins * 33 2-6 0-3 2-2 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Clint Capela * 33 7-9 0-0 0-0 15 0 0 0 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 4-12 0-3 7-8 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Justin Holiday 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Frank Kaminsky 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
AJ Griffin 12 3-7 2-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Jalen Johnson 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 40 14-25 1-6 13-16 10 6 2 2 42 - -
Tobias Harris * 38 7-13 1-3 6-6 6 2 2 0 21 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 35 10-18 3-5 3-4 2 9 1 0 26 - -
P.J. Tucker * 31 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 29 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 20 5-8 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Danuel House Jr. 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 1 5 - -
Georges Niang 14 1-2 1-2 1-1 0 2 0 2 4 - -
Paul Reed 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 3 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter