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2022-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 39 4-16 0-4 0-0 9 5 2 1 8 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 36 9-16 2-7 6-7 2 3 1 2 26 - -
Thaddeus Young * 34 6-10 0-2 3-4 5 1 3 0 15 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 26 2-3 0-1 2-2 5 3 2 0 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 19 1-13 0-5 4-6 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Chris Boucher 28 6-17 2-8 5-7 7 0 1 1 19 - -
Malachi Flynn 22 3-9 1-5 1-1 2 1 1 1 8 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 13 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 2 14 - -
Christian Koloko 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 39 3-14 2-9 0-1 6 15 2 1 8 - -
Buddy Hield * 28 8-15 5-11 1-2 8 2 0 1 22 - -
Myles Turner * 26 5-8 2-3 7-8 10 0 0 2 19 - -
Jalen Smith * 25 6-11 3-7 1-2 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 4-10 3-4 4-6 8 3 0 0 15 - -
Isaiah Jackson 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 14 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Oshae Brissett 14 3-6 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Terry Taylor 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter