Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (108-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Williams * | 44 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 43 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 14-28 | 7-14 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 15 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter