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2022-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 10-16 3-4 5-7 6 6 0 0 28 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 5-5 0-0 5-5 6 1 1 0 15 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 4-8 2-4 5-6 4 0 3 2 15 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 26 4-9 1-4 4-4 10 4 0 0 13 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 26 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 8 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 5-12 1-5 0-0 7 4 1 1 11 - -
Taurean Prince 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -
Bryn Forbes 18 4-8 2-3 0-0 0 3 3 0 10 - -
Jaylen Nowell 11 1-7 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 34 5-7 1-2 1-2 7 0 2 1 12 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 7-16 2-7 8-8 3 5 1 0 24 - -
Ja Morant * 33 11-25 2-10 4-7 10 8 2 0 28 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 9-17 1-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 21 - -
Steven Adams * 26 1-3 0-0 1-4 9 3 1 1 3 - -
John Konchar 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 6-6 0-0 3-4 1 3 1 1 15 - -
Tyus Jones 19 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Jake LaRavia 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
David Roddy 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter