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2022-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - ✗
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 ✗ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% - ✗
Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 70.6% 29.4% - ✗

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (111-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MarJon Beauchamp * 34 4-13 0-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Jevon Carter * 32 7-15 5-7 2-3 2 6 1 0 21 - -
Bobby Portis * 31 6-15 1-4 3-3 12 2 1 0 16 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 6-14 3-7 4-5 3 2 1 2 19 - -
Jordan Nwora * 29 3-13 1-4 1-1 7 5 0 0 8 - -
George Hill 27 1-9 0-5 3-4 2 4 0 1 5 - -
Wesley Matthews 22 0-5 0-5 2-2 2 1 3 2 2 - -
Serge Ibaka 18 4-9 1-3 2-5 9 0 0 0 11 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 31 9-17 5-8 6-6 2 2 1 0 29 - -
Devin Vassell * 31 9-17 2-7 2-2 5 0 0 1 22 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 29 4-7 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 1 10 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 7-11 0-0 1-3 10 3 0 4 15 - -
Tre Jones * 29 4-7 1-1 0-0 5 9 1 1 9 - -
Doug McDermott 23 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Josh Richardson 23 2-10 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Charles Bassey 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 14 4 0 4 5 - -
Romeo Langford 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Isaiah Roby 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Hall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter