Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (131-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 12-20 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 36 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 11-21 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 34 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 15 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter