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2022-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - ✓
Margin 53.8% 46.2% -0.8 ✓ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - ✗
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -11 (95-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 41 10-20 4-8 3-5 8 4 4 1 27 - -
Justise Winslow * 38 3-12 1-4 5-8 8 6 0 1 12 - -
Josh Hart * 38 7-13 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 17 - -
Anfernee Simons * 36 5-18 5-13 8-8 3 6 0 0 23 - -
Drew Eubanks * 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 6 - -
Trendon Watford 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 4 3 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 23 6-11 1-3 2-3 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Jabari Walker 8 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 6-17 1-7 0-0 7 7 2 2 13 - -
Herbert Jones * 34 3-6 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 9-14 1-1 10-15 6 3 1 0 29 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 6-12 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 19 2-8 1-1 2-2 11 1 0 0 7 - -
Trey Murphy III 30 5-11 3-8 3-3 3 1 0 3 16 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Devonte' Graham 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter