Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (117-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 43 | 8-25 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 38 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 38 | 11-20 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 42 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 37 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 22 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter