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2022-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✗
Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 33 5-15 0-4 2-2 2 3 5 0 12 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 33 5-17 2-6 3-4 4 5 0 0 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 9-18 0-3 8-10 13 2 0 1 26 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 28 2-7 1-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 5 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Georges Niang 23 2-8 1-7 4-4 1 2 1 1 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. 19 3-3 1-1 1-1 0 0 1 1 8 - -
Shake Milton 17 2-5 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 0 5 - -
Paul Reed 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 7 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 3 3-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 8 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 34 5-13 0-4 0-0 3 8 2 0 10 - -
Trae Young * 33 7-21 2-8 10-10 3 7 1 0 26 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 6-13 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Clint Capela * 26 7-10 0-0 4-6 20 0 0 0 18 - -
John Collins * 25 3-11 0-3 5-5 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Justin Holiday 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 2 10 - -
AJ Griffin 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Jalen Johnson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter