Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +8 (113-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 3-9 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 11-17 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 41 | 14-26 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 28 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 25 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter