Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 16-28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 20 | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 38 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Dean Wade | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter