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2022-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - ✗
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.4% 19.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 70.5% 29.5% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (122-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 39 12-23 5-10 3-3 6 6 0 0 32 - -
Ja Morant * 39 14-25 2-5 2-3 5 5 1 0 32 - -
Steven Adams * 37 3-4 0-0 1-2 19 2 1 1 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 36 5-13 3-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Santi Aldama * 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 1 7 - -
John Konchar 28 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 19 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Jake LaRavia 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 1-2 0-0 4-5 4 2 0 0 6 - -
David Roddy 9 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 39 9-21 4-10 0-0 3 6 0 1 22 - -
Keldon Johnson * 39 4-15 2-8 6-10 8 4 0 0 16 - -
Tre Jones * 37 4-13 1-4 2-2 4 11 1 0 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 36 10-12 0-0 2-5 9 4 2 0 22 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 30 6-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott 23 4-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Josh Richardson 21 4-12 3-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Romeo Langford 20 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Charles Bassey 16 4-5 0-1 2-2 6 2 2 1 10 - -

* = starter