Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 (132-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 45 | 11-23 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 44 | 15-27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp * | 29 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 35 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 17 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 46 | 13-25 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 39 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 44 | 9-19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 35 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 17 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter