🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-11-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -4 (111-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 3-13 0-5 1-3 4 5 1 2 7 - -
Brandon Ingram * 33 8-14 1-2 5-6 9 3 1 0 22 - -
Zion Williamson * 30 6-11 0-0 7-8 5 1 0 0 19 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 8-13 0-2 5-6 13 3 1 0 21 - -
Herbert Jones * 27 5-9 0-2 7-8 4 3 3 0 17 - -
Naji Marshall 22 4-8 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Trey Murphy III 20 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Devonte' Graham 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 2 3 - -
Jose Alvarado 13 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez 11 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 14-26 0-2 5-6 3 3 1 1 33 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 9-22 3-12 2-2 4 4 2 0 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 6-9 2-4 4-5 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 4 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 25 2-3 0-0 3-3 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Goran Dragic 25 6-11 1-5 1-1 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Alex Caruso 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Andre Drummond 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 11 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 2 5 - -

* = starter