Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (116-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 40 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.G. Anunoby * | 38 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 12-26 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 23 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 11 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter