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2022-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (128-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 4-12 1-6 9-10 4 0 1 0 18 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 6-12 2-5 5-7 10 6 1 0 19 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 26 6-11 1-4 4-6 2 1 1 0 17 - -
Cade Cunningham * 23 1-11 0-6 2-2 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 20 3-6 1-4 5-6 10 1 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Duren 29 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 10 - -
Killian Hayes 22 7-12 1-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 16 - -
Isaiah Livers 18 1-3 1-3 0-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Rodney McGruder 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Cory Joseph 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nerlens Noel 3 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 10-20 5-11 6-7 1 5 1 1 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 30 11-19 2-6 6-7 7 3 1 0 30 - -
Al Horford * 26 6-6 1-1 0-1 6 2 1 0 13 - -
Marcus Smart * 23 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 11 2 0 2 - -
Grant Williams * 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Sam Hauser 31 9-15 6-12 0-0 2 0 0 0 24 - -
Derrick White 19 2-4 2-2 2-2 8 4 0 1 8 - -
Luke Kornet 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 14 3-4 1-2 2-4 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 12 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Noah Vonleh 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Jackson 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter