Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (119-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 20 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 29 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 18 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 10-17 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter