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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% - ✗
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 ✗ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - ✗
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - ✗

Actual: LA Clippers +2 (119-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 38 10-15 8-11 2-3 1 2 0 0 30 - -
Darius Garland * 37 8-17 2-9 1-3 1 12 1 0 19 - -
Caris LeVert * 36 2-8 0-2 0-0 6 5 0 0 4 - -
Evan Mobley * 33 12-18 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 26 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 4-10 0-0 2-3 20 3 2 2 10 - -
Kevin Love 25 4-8 4-8 5-6 8 4 1 0 17 - -
Isaac Okoro 17 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Dean Wade 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 39 10-20 5-11 1-3 5 3 1 0 26 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 37 7-16 4-11 2-2 6 1 0 1 20 - -
Reggie Jackson * 36 6-11 2-5 4-4 2 7 0 0 18 - -
Ivica Zubac * 33 2-7 0-0 6-8 9 0 1 1 10 - -
Terance Mann * 30 6-9 1-2 3-4 4 5 2 0 16 - -
Norman Powell 27 5-6 1-1 6-7 1 0 2 0 17 - -
Nicolas Batum 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kennard 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 6 - -
Robert Covington 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter