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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 ✓ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 36 8-17 2-5 10-12 2 6 0 0 28 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 6-15 0-2 7-8 14 6 0 0 19 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 11 - -
Keegan Murray * 26 2-7 1-4 1-2 7 2 2 0 6 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Malik Monk 30 7-16 3-8 7-7 6 4 1 0 24 - -
Davion Mitchell 21 5-11 2-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 12 - -
Terence Davis 18 3-8 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Chimezie Metu 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 40 10-17 4-8 1-2 10 2 2 1 25 - -
Klay Thompson * 37 6-18 3-10 1-2 2 3 1 2 16 - -
Stephen Curry * 37 17-24 7-12 6-7 8 8 0 0 47 - -
Draymond Green * 36 4-7 0-0 3-5 8 6 0 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 13 4 1 1 2 - -
Jordan Poole 21 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Lamb 15 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Ty Jerome 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 8 2-5 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Moses Moody 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter