Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 39 | 12-25 | 3-11 | 12-16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 19 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 10-24 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter