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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (111-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 39 4-12 0-2 5-7 4 1 3 0 13 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 10-19 6-10 1-1 3 4 2 2 27 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 32 7-12 2-4 3-3 3 4 3 1 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 30 2-9 0-2 1-2 6 5 0 0 5 - -
Christian Koloko * 21 2-8 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 17 2-4 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 14 0-3 0-2 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Precious Achiuwa 13 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Dalano Banton 9 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 - -
Malachi Flynn 6 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 2-6 0-1 5-6 6 7 1 0 9 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 7-14 1-4 0-0 13 4 0 2 15 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 11-20 4-8 4-5 3 5 2 0 30 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 27 5-10 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 2 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 24 4-8 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 1 10 - -
Alex Caruso 28 1-2 1-1 1-2 6 5 2 2 4 - -
Goran Dragic 25 4-9 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Javonte Green 18 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 13 5-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Tony Bradley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter