Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 31 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 28 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Nassir Little | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 35 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 28 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
* = starter