Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +19 (117-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 26 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 11-24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 31 | 10-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter