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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% -
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (129-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 12-24 3-4 2-2 6 2 0 2 29 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 3-11 2-5 1-2 5 7 1 0 9 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 10-15 2-3 4-6 7 7 2 1 26 - -
Herbert Jones * 28 7-12 1-3 1-1 2 2 1 1 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 7-9 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Trey Murphy III 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 6 1 2 0 11 - -
Devonte' Graham 20 3-9 3-8 2-2 2 4 0 0 11 - -
Jose Alvarado 14 0-5 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 4 0 0 3 - -
Naji Marshall 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 36 11-18 4-7 11-11 12 1 0 3 37 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 6-16 5-13 3-3 5 3 2 2 20 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 7-14 6-10 0-0 4 13 2 0 20 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 33 6-11 3-4 0-0 3 5 2 0 15 - -
Jalen Smith * 29 6-11 3-7 0-0 11 1 0 1 15 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 2-8 1-6 3-3 2 5 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Jackson 17 1-2 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 1 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 4-5 0-0 2-3 3 3 0 1 10 - -
Terry Taylor 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter