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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (127-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 37 7-14 3-8 0-1 8 11 2 1 17 - -
Jalen Green * 37 12-18 5-11 5-7 3 3 2 1 34 - -
Eric Gordon * 29 5-9 5-8 4-5 1 4 1 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 29 6-14 0-1 8-10 10 4 2 1 20 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 25 8-14 4-8 1-2 4 5 0 2 21 - -
Tari Eason 19 3-7 2-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 8 - -
Usman Garuba 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 - -
Daishen Nix 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Garrison Mathews 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 35 8-16 2-4 12-14 6 4 2 0 30 - -
Franz Wagner * 32 9-12 3-4 2-2 5 7 0 0 23 - -
Jalen Suggs * 32 5-8 0-1 1-4 5 6 1 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 6-12 1-2 2-2 7 2 0 0 15 - -
Bol Bol * 20 2-5 0-1 5-5 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Terrence Ross 30 8-15 5-10 0-0 3 2 1 1 21 - -
Mo Bamba 19 6-7 1-2 1-2 4 3 1 1 14 - -
Chuma Okeke 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Kevon Harris 15 0-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter