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2022-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -8 (100-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monte Morris * 32 3-7 1-1 1-2 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 9-16 1-3 1-5 6 1 0 1 20 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 6-14 1-6 6-8 8 5 0 1 19 - -
Corey Kispert * 19 3-4 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Deni Avdija * 18 1-4 0-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Will Barton 26 3-10 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 26 6-12 0-0 4-7 3 0 0 1 16 - -
Jordan Goodwin 21 7-7 1-1 2-2 4 5 0 2 17 - -
Anthony Gill 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Gafford 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 37 9-23 1-9 0-0 3 5 0 0 19 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 34 1-11 0-2 1-2 5 10 0 3 3 - -
P.J. Washington * 30 11-18 2-6 1-1 4 0 3 0 25 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 28 8-20 1-7 3-3 1 0 0 0 20 - -
Mason Plumlee * 22 1-5 0-0 4-6 10 5 2 0 6 - -
Jalen McDaniels 27 4-9 1-4 0-1 7 1 3 2 9 - -
Nick Richards 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 8 - -
James Bouknight 20 3-7 0-3 1-2 6 3 0 0 7 - -
JT Thor 10 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Theo Maledon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter