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2022-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (103-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 5-14 2-9 0-0 11 2 0 1 12 - -
Monte Morris * 33 7-12 2-5 2-2 0 1 1 0 18 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 3-13 1-6 3-4 4 3 1 3 10 - -
Deni Avdija * 26 2-12 0-5 0-0 10 2 0 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert * 23 3-6 0-3 0-1 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Goodwin 26 4-7 1-4 0-0 8 5 2 1 9 - -
Will Barton 23 5-12 1-5 1-1 4 5 0 0 12 - -
Rui Hachimura 22 7-12 1-3 0-1 3 0 0 0 15 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 4-6 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Taj Gibson 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 9-16 4-8 6-6 3 4 1 0 28 - -
Ja Morant * 33 9-27 1-4 4-6 9 6 1 0 23 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-14 0-4 1-1 5 1 2 0 9 - -
Santi Aldama * 26 2-9 0-4 0-1 10 2 3 0 4 - -
Steven Adams * 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 7-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 2 16 - -
Tyus Jones 19 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 7 - -
Jake LaRavia 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
David Roddy 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
John Konchar 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter