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2022-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 38 6-15 3-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 15 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 7-9 0-1 6-6 5 2 1 1 20 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-13 2-5 0-0 12 6 0 1 18 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 1-11 0-6 2-2 11 11 2 2 4 - -
Patrick Williams * 28 5-16 3-6 0-0 7 1 0 2 13 - -
Javonte Green 21 4-7 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Goran Dragic 20 6-10 4-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 1-5 0-2 2-4 2 0 1 3 4 - -
Dalen Terry 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 40 8-19 2-7 1-2 10 4 1 0 19 - -
Fred VanVleet * 39 9-22 5-13 7-7 5 11 0 0 30 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 38 10-19 2-5 0-0 6 3 3 1 22 - -
Christian Koloko * 31 4-8 0-1 3-4 7 2 0 6 11 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 20 4-11 1-5 3-5 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 22 4-10 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 2 8 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 4 - -
Precious Achiuwa 14 2-6 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 1 5 - -

* = starter